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The future of water resources systems analysis: toward a scientific framework for sustainable water management. Water Resources Research. 51(8):6110–6124.. 2015.
The integrated effects of climate and hydrologic uncertainty on future flood risk assessments. Hydrological Processes. 29(12):2823–2839.. 2015.
Is water security necessary? An empirical analysis of the effects of climate hazards on national-level economic growth Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A. 371(2002). 2013.
Toward a statistical framework to quantify the uncertainties of hydrologic response under climate change. Water Resources Research. 48(11). 2012.
An alternate approach to assessing climate risks. Eos Trans. AGU. 93(41):401-402.. 2012.
Decision Scaling: Linking bottom-up vulnerability analysis with climate projections in the water sector. Water Resources Research. 48(9). 2012.
A decision-analytic approach to managing climate risks: Application to the upper Great Lakes. Journal of the American Water Resources Association. 47(3):524-534.. 2011.
Hydroclimate risk to economic growth in sub-Saharan Africa. Climatic Change. 106(4):621-647.. 2011.
Performance of water policy reforms under scarcity conditions: A case study in Northeast Brazil. Water Policy. 11(5). 2009.
Seasonal and annual maximum streamflow forecasting using climate information: application to the Three Gorges dam in the Yangtze River basin. Hydrologic Sciences Journal. 54(3):582-595.. 2009.
Interpreting variability in global SST data using independent component analysis and principal component analysis. International Journal of Climatology. 40(3):333-346.. 2010.
Water in the 21st Century: Defining the elements of global crises and potential solutions. Journal of International Affairs. 61(2):1-17.. 2008.
Climate informed flood frequency analysis and prediction in Montana using hierarchical bayesian modeling. Geophysical Research Letters. 35(4). 2008.
Multivariate streamflow forecasting using independent component analysis. Water Resources Research. 44(2). 2008.
Managing hydroclimatological risk to water supply with option contracts and reservoir index insurance. Water Resources Research. 43(11). 2007.
Modeling multivariable hydrological series: Principal component analysis or independent component analysis? Water Resources Research. 43(6). 2007.
Water and economic development: The role of variability and a framework for resilience. Natural Resources Forum. 30(4):306-317.. 2006.
Climate teleconnections to Yangtze River seasonal streamflow at the Three Gorges Dam, China. International Journal of Climatology. 27(6):771-780.. 2006.
Effect of forecast-based pricing on irrigated agriculture: a simulation. ASCE Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management. 132(SPECIAL ISSUE: Economic-Engineering Analysis of Water Resource Systems Next Article >):403-413.. 2006.
Demand management of groundwater with monsoon forecasting. Agricultural Systems. 90(1-3):293-311.. 2006.