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The future of water resources systems analysis: toward a scientific framework for sustainable water management. Water Resources Research. 51(8):6110–6124.
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2015. The integrated effects of climate and hydrologic uncertainty on future flood risk assessments. Hydrological Processes. 29(12):2823–2839.
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2015. Is water security necessary? An empirical analysis of the effects of climate hazards on national-level economic growth Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A. 371(2002)
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2013. Toward a statistical framework to quantify the uncertainties of hydrologic response under climate change. Water Resources Research. 48(11)
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2012. An alternate approach to assessing climate risks. Eos Trans. AGU. 93(41):401-402.
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2012. Decision Scaling: Linking bottom-up vulnerability analysis with climate projections in the water sector. Water Resources Research. 48(9)
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2012. A decision-analytic approach to managing climate risks: Application to the upper Great Lakes. Journal of the American Water Resources Association. 47(3):524-534.
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2011. Hydroclimate risk to economic growth in sub-Saharan Africa. Climatic Change. 106(4):621-647.
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2011. Performance of water policy reforms under scarcity conditions: A case study in Northeast Brazil. Water Policy. 11(5)
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2009. Seasonal and annual maximum streamflow forecasting using climate information: application to the Three Gorges dam in the Yangtze River basin. Hydrologic Sciences Journal. 54(3):582-595.
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2009. Interpreting variability in global SST data using independent component analysis and principal component analysis. International Journal of Climatology. 40(3):333-346.
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2010. Water in the 21st Century: Defining the elements of global crises and potential solutions. Journal of International Affairs. 61(2):1-17.
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2008. Climate informed flood frequency analysis and prediction in Montana using hierarchical bayesian modeling. Geophysical Research Letters. 35(4)
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2008. Multivariate streamflow forecasting using independent component analysis. Water Resources Research. 44(2)
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2008. Managing hydroclimatological risk to water supply with option contracts and reservoir index insurance. Water Resources Research. 43(11)
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2007. Modeling multivariable hydrological series: Principal component analysis or independent component analysis? Water Resources Research. 43(6)
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2007. Water and economic development: The role of variability and a framework for resilience. Natural Resources Forum. 30(4):306-317.
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2006. Climate teleconnections to Yangtze River seasonal streamflow at the Three Gorges Dam, China. International Journal of Climatology. 27(6):771-780.
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2006. Effect of forecast-based pricing on irrigated agriculture: a simulation. ASCE Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management. 132(SPECIAL ISSUE: Economic-Engineering Analysis of Water Resource Systems Next Article >):403-413.
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2006. Demand management of groundwater with monsoon forecasting. Agricultural Systems. 90(1-3):293-311.
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