* indicates student authors
Manuscripts in Review
*Moody, P. and C. Brown, “Robustness Indicators for Evaluation Under Climate Change: Application to the Upper Great Lakes” submitted to Water Resources Research.
Ghile, Y., P. Moody* and C. Brown, “Paleo-reconstructed Net Basin Supply Scenarios and their effect on levels in the Upper Great Lakes” Climatic Change (in review)
Peer Reviewed Publications
2012), Toward a statistical framework to quantify the uncertainties of hydrologic response under climate change**, Water Resour. Res., 48, W11525, doi:10.1029/2011WR011318.(
** WRR Featured Article
Weaver, C., R. Lempert, C. Brown, J. Hall, D. Revell, D. Sarewitz, (2013)“ Improving the contribution of climate model information to decision making: the value and demands of robust decision frameworks” WIREs Clim Change 2013, 4:39–60. doi: 10.1002/wcc.202
Ward, M.N., C. Brown, K. Baraong, Y. Khalil, (2012) “Reservoir performance and dynamic management under plausible assumptions of future climate over seasons to decades” Climatic Change, doi: 10.1007/s10584-012-0616-0.
Brown, C. and R. L. Wilby (2012), An alternate approach to assessing climate risks, Eos Trans. AGU, 93(41), 401, doi:10.1029/2012EO410001.
*Moody, P. and C. Brown (2012), Modeling stakeholder-defined climate risk on the Upper Great Lakes, Water Resources Research, 48, W10524, doi:10.1029/2012WR012497.
*Steinschneider, S. and C. Brown (2012), Forecast-informed low-flow frequency analysis in a Bayesian framework for the northeastern United States, Water Resour. Res., 48, W10545, doi:10.1029/ 2012WR011860.
2012), Decision scaling: Linking bottom-up vulnerability analysis with climate projections in the water sector, Water Resour. Res., doi:10.1029/2011WR011212, in press.(
*Steinschneider, S. and C. Brown (2012) “Dynamic reservoir management with real options risk hedging as a robust adaptation to nonstationary climate” Water Resources Research, 48, W05524, doi:10.1029/2011WR011540.
*Steinschneider, S. and Brown, C. (2011) “Influences of North Atlantic climate variability on low-flows in the Connecticut River Basin” Journal of Hydrology, 409, 212-224.
Brown, C., Werick, W., Fay, D., and Leger, W. (2011) “A Decision Analytic Approach to Managing Climate Risks - Application to the Upper Great Lakes” Journal of the American Water Resources Association, 47, 3, doi/10.1111/j.1752-1688.2011.00552.x.
Brown, C., *Meeks, R., *Hunu, K., and Yu, W. (2010). “Hydroclimatic risk to economic growth in Sub-Saharan Africa” Climatic Change, DOI: 10.1007/s10584-010-9956-9.
Ghile, Y., Schulze, R. and Brown, C. (2010). Evaluating the performance of ground-based and remotely sensed near real-time rainfall fields from a hydrologic perspective. Hydrologic Sciences Journal, 55(4), 497 – 511.
Souza Filho, F.A., and Brown, C. (2009). “Performance of water policy reforms under scarcity conditions: a case study in northeast Brazil.” Water Policy, 11, 553-358.
Kwon, H-H., Brown, C. , Xu, K., and Lall, U. (2009). “Seasonal and annual maximum streamflow forecasting using climate information: application to the Three Gorges dam in the Yangtze River basin.” Hydrologic Sciences Journal, 54(3) 582 - 595.
*Westra, S., Brown, C., Lall, U., Koch, I., and Sharma, A. (2009). “Interpreting variability in global SST data using independent component analysis and principal component analysis.” International Journal of Climatology, DOI: 10.1002/joc.1888.
Lall, U., Heikkila, T., Brown, C. and Siegfried, T. (2008). “Water in the 21st Century: Defining the elements of global crises and potential solutions.” Journal of International Affairs, 61, 2, 1-17.
Kwon, H-H., Brown, C., and Lall, U. (2008). “Climate informed flood frequency analysis and prediction in Montana using hierarchical bayesian modeling.” Geophysical Research Letters, 35, L05404, DOI:10.1029/2007GL032220.
*Westra, S., Sharma, A., Brown, C., and Lall, U. (2008). “Multivariate streamflow forecasting using independent component analysis.” Water Resources Research, 44, W02437, DOI:10.1029/2007WR006104.
Brown, C., and Carriquiry, M. (2007). “Managing hydroclimatic risk with option contracts and reservoir index insurance.” Water Resources Research, 43, W11423, DOI:10.1029/2007WR006093.
*Westra, S., Brown, C., Sharma, A., and Lall, U. (2007). “Modeling multivariable hydrological series: Principal component analysis or independent component analysis?” Water Resources Research, 43, W06429, DOI:10.1029/2006WR005617.
Brown, C., and Lall, U. (2006) “Water and economic development: The role of variability and a framework for resilience,” Natural Resources Forum, 30: 4, 306 – 317, DOI:10.1111/j.1477-8947.2006.00118.
Xu, K., Brown, C., Kwon, H-H., Lall, U., Zhang, J., Hayashi, S., and Chen, Z. (2006) “Climate teleconnections to Yangtze River seasonal streamflow at the Three Gorges Dam, China,” International Journal of Climatology, DOI: 10.1002/joc.1439.
Brown, C., and Rogers, P. (2006). “Effect of forecast-based pricing on irrigated agriculture: a simulation,” ASCE Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management, 122, 6, pp. 403-413.
Brown, C., Lall, U. and Rogers, P. (2006). “Demand management of groundwater with monsoon forecasting,” Agricultural Systems, 90, 293 - 311.
Brown, C., and Holcomb, A. (2004). “In pursuit of the millennium development goals in water and sanitation,” Water Policy, 6, 263 - 266.
Brown, C. (in press). “The End of Reliability.” ASCE Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management, 136, No. 3, 2010 (May/June 2010).
Salas, J., Rajagopalan, B., Saito, L., and Brown, C. (2012) “Nonstationarity and Water Resources Management.” ASCE Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management, 138, No. 6, 2012( Sept/Oct 2012).
Hallegatte, S., Shah, A., Lempert, R., Brown, C., and S. Gill (2012) "Investment Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty: Application to Climate Change. World Bank Policy Research Working Paper #6193.
Brown, C. (2011) “Decision-scaling for robust planning and policy under climate uncertainty.” World Resources Report, Washington DC. Available online at http://www.worldresourcesreport.org
Brown, C., Meeks, R., Ghile, Y. and K. Hunu (2009) “An empirical analysis of the effects of climate variables on national level economic growth.” Background paper for the World Bank World Development Report.
Brown, C. and Ghile, Y. (2009) “Review of general circulation models and downscaling techniques.” Report to the Electric Power Research Institute.
Brown, C., and Hansen, J. (2008). “Agricultural water management and climate risk.” IRI Technical Report No. 08-01. International Research Institute for Climate and Society, Palisades, NY, USA. 19 pp.
Brown, C. A. Greene, P. Block, A. Giannini (2008). Review of Downscaling Methodologies for Africa Climate Applications. IRI Technical Report 08-05. International Research Institute for Climate and Society, Palisades, NY, USA. 31 pp.
Brown, C., Meeks, R., Hunu, K., and Yu, W. (2008). “Hydroclimatic risk to economic growth in Sub-Saharan Africa.” IRI Technical Report No. 08-03. International Research Institute for Climate and Society, Palisades, NY, USA. 39 pp.
Brown, C., Domeisen, D., Meeks, R., Hunu, K., and Yu, W. (2008). “Exploring the effect of hydroclimatic variability on economic growth in Sub-Saharan Africa: a water security index.” IRI Technical Report No. 08-04. International Research Institute for Climate and Society, Palisades, NY, USA. 39 pp.
Rajagopalan, R. and C. Brown (in press). Chapter Four: The State of the Resource. In: UNESCO: World Water Development Report IV, United Nations Press.
Brown, C., (2012). Water, Ecosystems and Poverty: Roadmap for the coming challenge in Integrating Ecology and Poverty Reduction, Carter Ingram et al. (eds), Springer, New York, 444 pp.
Brown, C., (2012). Introduction to Water, Poverty, and Ecology: A Vision for Sustainability in Integrating Ecology and Poverty Reduction, Carter Ingram et al. (eds), Springer, New York, 444 pp.
Brown, C. and K. M. Baroang, 2011: Risk Assessment, Risk Management, and Communication: Methods for Climate Variability and Change, in Treatise on Water Science, Wilderer, P., Ed., Vol. 1, Elsevier, 189-199, doi: 10.1016/B978-0-444-53199-5.00018-X.
Brown, C., Conrad, E., Sankarasubramanian, A., Someshwar, S. (2009) “The use of seasonal climate forecasts within a shared reservoir system: The case of Angat reservoir, Philippines.” in Climate Change Adaptation in the Water Sector eds. Ludwig et al., Earthscan, London, 274 pp.
Brown, C. (2008). “Emergent Sustainability: The concept of sustainable development in a complex world” (Chap 7) in Globalization and Environmental Challenges Vol 3., eds. H.G. Brauch et al., Springer Berlin Heidelberg.